Preparing for Population Growth: CCTV America Interview

Dr. Janice Perlman was recently invited to interview with CCTV America, the U.S. division of China Central Television. On air, she answered key questions on the risks and opportunities that lie ahead for urbanization, especially in regions as densely populated as China. CCTV is the predominant state television broadcaster in mainland China.

Link to video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pKKKuM9RaAg

Apologies for our long pause.  We are back now and look forward to sharing ideas and hearing from you.
The Mega-Cities Project is now working with a several outstanding Graduate Students Interns from the School of International and Public Affairs and the Urban Planning Division at Columbia University. The 4 projects we are doing are: 1. The conceptualization and strategic action plan for MC2;    2)  The impact of Mega-Events in Mega-Cities in terms of social justice —3-year research project focusing on the World Cup and Olympics preparation, actualization  and aftermath in Rio de Janeiro;   3) China’ s Mega-Cities and urban slums; Tier 2 and 3 cities and “ghost cities; and 4) preparation of a paper and talk on Mega-Cities” for a Roundtable at the Vatican on “ Sustainable Humanity and Sustainable Nature”  in May.   Attached are the brief descriptions of each project.

1. Mega-Cities/Mega-Change (MC2) –this is an opportunity to build a sustainable non-profit organization working in the largest cities in the world–in all regions.  It is about what the next generation of urban leaders can do to improve urban inclusion and environmental regeneration, using the earlier cohort of Mega-Cities coordinators as mentors to “shorten the lag time between ideas and implementation”  AND to “shorten the lag time between promising young leaders and their ability to make a difference.  It will involve Strategic Planning, a 3-year plan, outreach, social media and decisions about how participation on open platform will intersect with face-to-face networks. There is a research agenda on the life cycle of innovations and the conditions for new ideas to arise, thrive and adapt to change.  This is the beginning of a 25-year initiative of sharing what works among informal communities and activists and scaling that into public policy.  It is about “system-challenging innovations”, involving new players at the table, new incentive systems and new rules of the game.

2. Mega-Events in Mega-Cities: Social Justice Impacts in the Case of Rio’s Favelas: will be developing a 3-year study of how the favelas are affected in the lead-up, duration and after the World Cup and Olympics and what the reactions are from:  community-based groups and residents, NGOs, student activists working with NGOs and residents, business community and city, state, and national government. Need to conceptualize the study from start to finish and lay out the literature review, analytical framework and research methodology.

3. China Cities Project:  potential planning work on the smaller Tier 2 and 3 cities and on the “ghost cities” –which are newly built, ready for occupancy and remain abandoned;  and on migrants and migrant slum communities in the large cities.   We are in discussions with a non-profit based in Beijing and with a construction company interested in anticipating future urban infrastructure needs.  If this works out, it would be an opportunity to influence the human livability and quality of life in cities and to test various forms of circular rather than linear infrastructure by trying decentralized models for energy, water, sanitation, garbage, road paving and building materials.

4. Vatican Workshop on Sustainable Humanity and Nature: May 2-9, 2014. We will be giving a presentation on THE CHALLENGE/PROMISE OF THE MEGA-CITIES   This will be one of the only presentations on cities in the entire meeting, most of which will cover environmental issues from Oceans to Forests to Climate Change.    We will cover an overview of urbanization and in formalization trends, the implications for environmental sustainability, and ideas for policy, planning and practice and wish to illustrate this with striking images, graphics and up-to-date information.

We are interviewing graduate students from SIPA at Columbia University and other universities in the NY area. If you are interested, please contact me. Thanks, Janice

Raquel Rolnik, UN Special Rapporteur, has released a new report on tenure security that presents a framework for improving global housing security while outlining the challenges ahead. Rolnik was involved in the Mega-Cities Project in Sao Paulo since its inception. The report, entitled “Report of the Special Rapporteur on Adequate Housing as a Component of the Right to an Adequate Standard of Living, and on the right to Non-Discrimination in This Context” is available at http://direitoamoradia.org/?p=18863&lang=en

“We are in the grip of a global tenure insecurity crisis. Access to secure housing and land is a prerequisite for human dignity and an adequate standard of living, yet many millions of people live under the daily threat of eviction.” – Rolnik

When are you secure in your home? Do you have to own it? What if you own it but have no government documents to prove it? What if somebody wants you off the land anyway? How about renting?

A new report from the United Nations documents the scale of tenure insecurity around the world. Tenure insecurity is the condition under which a person or family has reason to fear removal from their residence. The report, presented on March 4^th by UN Special Rapporteur on Housing Raquel Rolnik demonstrates the myriad ways in which the “security, peace and dignity” of the urban poor are impeded by threats to their living situation.

Rolnik, whose mission is to document global issues concerning the right to adequate housing, has travelled the world conducting studies to develop the report. Stating the severity of the problem, she bluntly calls it a “global tenure insecurity crisis”. Every year the number of people with insecure tenure increases due to displacement. In 2011, over 40 million people around the world were displaced by conflicts or natural disasters. Others lose their security of tenure when they move from rural farmlands to informal housing arrangements in cities, either to seek employment or because of land speculation and large-scale acquisition of farmland. Forced evictions are the extreme manifestation of tenure insecurity and are the product of development, conflict, land grabbing and mega-events. “Single and older women, in particular, too often do not have the legal empowerment, education or financial resources to defend their tenure.”

While tenure insecurity is a global phenomenon, Rolnik stresses its variability. Different social, political and cultural contexts shape housing dynamics. For example while some cities only recognize titled property owners, others grant rights to squatters. Many cities deal with competing rights – like occupancy vs. ownership – and resolve them in a variety of ways. Legal and juridical approaches to land rights are so different around the world that even defining security of tenure is a hazardous task. Rolnik settles on a broad definition that is relevant to a diversity of housing contexts from the Favela residents of Brazil to conflict refugees in Sudan: “Security of tenure is understood…as tenure of land and/or housing which ensures a secure home and enables one to live in security, peace and dignity.”

After examining the variety of tenure arrangements, Rolnik came to a major flaw in the international response to the crisis. While on-the-ground realities of tenure security are diverse, the response has been too one-dimensional. She critiques UN-Habitat’s conception of tenure (which is shared by many governments) arguing that it is limiting to see “individual freehold” land rights as the ultimate form of secure tenure. According to Rolnick this legal model reflects the dominant market ideology and not necessarily the best way to offer security.

She suggests that in the future the goal of those looking to improve the lives of the vulnerable urban poor should be to transition them from tenure insecurity to security rather than from informality to formality. That would mean considering alternatives to individual freehold, such as collective tenure rights and “more flexible and expansive ways of recording and recognizing tenure forms and tenure rights.” She concludes that  there is “an obvious need” to develop a “more specific and comprehensive human rights guidance on security of tenure” that is applicable to the myriad legal and managerial systems around the world.

Rolnik’s conclusions challenge the dominant focus on formal property rights as a way to provide secure tenure. However, she can only cite a few examples of alternative rights arrangements and acknowledges that neoliberal economic policy has limited the response of most governments to untitled city dwellers. While the number of people lacking secure tenure is sure to rise, the report offers little hope that governments and trans-national institutions will get much better at helping them.

The report is also light on a point of major concern for the urban poor in the developing world. With sea levels projected to rise three feet in the next one hundred years and more frequent violent storms a certainty, many cities in vulnerable locations will face planning scenarios that could necessitate the depopulation of hazardous areas. Rolnik’s proposed comprehensive human rights approach will have to take into account situations where governments use coercive force to ensure the long-term safety of a climate-threatened neighborhood.

Ten Cities with the Largest Populations Threatened by Coastal Flooding

As New York City grapples with the aftermath of Superstorm Sandy, it is instructive to consider the situation of coastal cities around the world. New studies from leading climate scientists suggest that we can expect a three foot increase in global sea levels by the year 2100. Such growth will increase the frequency and violence of destructive coastal storms like Sandy.

This chart, based on data from the OECD, shows that New York City is just one of many cities with a large population at risk from coastal storms. Numerous urban areas in India, Bangladesh and Southeast Asia have massive numbers of impoverished residents at or even below sea level. Unlike most New York City residents, these communities live in flimsy housing with little access to modernized rescue and evacuation services. Furthermore, because of projected ongoing urbanization and sea level rise, many of these cities will house much larger vulnerable populations in the decades to come. The OECD projects that cities like Dhaka will contain up to 11 times more at-risk residents by the year 2070.

This highlights the dual challenge facing coastal cities in the developing world: accommodating booming populations while adapting to rising sea levels and increasingly violent storms. The scale of the challenge demands innovative solutions rather than old answers.

This is the FIRST public release of an interview I did at the WB Urban Research and Knowledge Symposium last Fall. It reflects our current thinking about the Mega-Cities Project next generation initiative, Mega-Cities/Mega-Change or MC2 –the energy of young people using new technologies to make a difference in cities. Click here to see the interview and hear the music.

In addition to my extensive participation at the Rio+20 Conference last June, over the 18 months I have been invited to give talks at many important venues and conferences addressing the concerns of the Mega-Cities project.  Fortunately, several of my talks have been recorded and are available in the public domain.

In August 2011, I was invited to be a Keynote Speaker at the EcoCities Conference in Montréal, Québec.  You can watch the talk I gave there, on August 23, 2011, here.

For a number of years, I have been a member of the jury for the Buckminster Fuller Challenge.  As the Buckminster Fuller Institute describes it, the Challenge awards $100,000 each year “to support the development and implementation of a strategy that has significant potential to solve humanity’s most pressing problems. Named “Socially-Responsible Design’s Highest Award” by Metropolis Magazine, it attracts bold, visionary, tangible initiatives focused on a well-defined need of critical importance. Winning solutions are regionally specific yet globally applicable and present a truly comprehensive, anticipatory, integrated approach to solving the world’s complex problems.” This year, alongside the other members of the jury, I participated in a Roundtable Discussion, which took place in Brooklyn, New York, on June 6, 2012. (Please note that this video is posted on Vimeo, which may require you to register before you can view it.  Registration is cost- and spam-free.)

Last April, Rahul Mehrotra, Chair of the Department of Urban Planning and Design at Harvard University’s Graduate School of Design (Harvard’s Architecture School), and a long-time collaborator of the Mega-Cities Project, brought me to Cambridge to discuss my most recent book, Favela, with Harvard students and faculty. Click here to watch my talk at Harvard on April 18, 2012.

As I mentioned in my previous entry about Rio+20, filmmaker and environmental activist João Amorim has been working with the Botanical Garden of Brasília and with Rio NGO Verdejar to promote these organizations’ joint permaculture initiative at Complexo do Alemão in Rio.  As you will see in their report (RioPlus20RioPlusGreenEnglishPostRioSmall), the initiative is quite broad and involves a variety of efforts: the recycling of urban waste in an innovative way that turns waste into a water filtration system; the deployment of a solar water heating kit that produces hot water without the need for electricity or fuel, and using low-cost materials and simple techniques; and permaculture proper, involving the creation of a garden space where a variety of food crops are grown, complementing each other with respect to soil nutrients, shade, and physical support, and providing foodstuffs year-round.  Not only that, but the permaculture site at Morro do Alemão is strategically located with the intention of creating a transition zone between the dense space of the Complexo’s favelas and the area’s sole remaining natural space—the Serra da Misericórdia—hence helping preserve the Serra for its ecological value and especially as a natural park for the communities of the Complexo.

While Rio+20 was unfolding, João worked hard to bring to the permaculture site at the Complexo those of us coming from different corners of the world with an interest in this type of initiatives.  João and his collaborators from the Botanical Garden, Verdejar, Solarize (an NGO working on the solar water heating kit) and the local community spared no efforts to show us every element of the initiative and the context in which it is being developed—until very recently, one of Rio’s most violent favela areas, but also (in Nova Brasília, one of the Complexo’s favelas) one of the places where I lived during my fieldwork for The Myth of Marginality.  It was an unforgettable experience and an outstanding example of the ideas and practices that the Mega-Cities project is all about!

Some of the most interesting debates and events in connection with the Conference took place far from the official venue, at the Peoples’ Summit organized by NGOs in downtown Rio.  There, on June 21, 2012, I participated as part of a panel of guest speakers in the “Socio-Environmental Arena,” a space open to the public, as part of the Arena’s “Global Encounters,” on the topic of Sustainable and Accessible Cities.  The session is not available in full, but you can watch a short clip of one of my interventions, followed by an interview with me right after the event, by clicking on this link (from start to minute 2, in Portuguese only).